In spite of decent late summer and autumn precipitation for a good portion of New
Mexico, concerns continued to grow about the reservoir situation. The NWS state drought
monitoring group expected El Nino-enhanced precipitation would alleviate some
aspects of the drought, but not end the longer-term hydrologic drought.
Much above-normal precipitation is needed to restore reservoir levels, which continued to drop. The
Elephant Butte reservoir storage is now 34 percent of capacity, down from 79 percent last year at
this time. In the San Juan Basin, storage is now 64 percent of normal, down from 103
percent last year at this time.
Consequently, while the agricultural aspect of drought has likely seen some improvement
the past few months, the long-term hydrologic drought remains, and is likely to get
worse.