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U.S. National Drought Overview

National Climatic Data Center, 15 April 2003

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Global Analysis / Global Hazards / United States / U.S. Drought / Extremes
Use these links to access detailed analyses of Global and U.S. data.

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On the national scale,
  • about 30 percent of the contiguous U.S. fell in the moderate to extreme drought categories (based on the Palmer Drought Index) at the end of March;
  • severe to extreme drought affected about 16 percent of the contiguous United States as of the end of March 2003, a decrease of about 2 percent compared to last month;
  • the coverage of the current (November 1999-present) national-scale drought first peaked in August 2000 at about 36% of the contiguous U.S. (in the severe to extreme categories), which was as extensive as the major droughts of the last 40 years, but not as large as the "dust bowl" droughts of the 1930s and 1950s;
  • the total drought area decreased to about 10 percent by November 2000, but had a general increasing trend for much of the period since then, reaching in July 2002 the peak it had first reached in August 2000; there has been a generally decreasing trend in drought area since July 2002 (see graph below left);
  • on a broad scale, the last two decades were characterized by unusual wetness with short periods of extensive droughts, whereas the 1930s and 1950s were characterized by prolonged periods of extensive droughts with little wetness (see graph below right);
  • although various parts of the U.S. have experienced unusually wet conditions during the last 41 months, little change occurred in the aggregate national wetness picture during much of this period;
  • the percentage of the nation severely wet has remained below about eleven percent during this period, dropping to about 2 percent by the end of March 2003 (see graph below left);
    • a file containing the national monthly percent area severely dry and wet from 1900 to present is available;
    • historical temperature, precipitation, and Palmer drought data from 1895 to present for climate divisions, states, and regions in the contiguous U.S. are available at the Climate Division: Temperature-Precipitation-Drought Data page in files having names that start with "drd964x" and ending with "txt"(without the quotes).
Click here for graphic showing U.S. Drought and Wet Spell Percent Area, 1996-present
larger image
Click here for graphic showing U.S. Drought and Wet Spell Percent Area, 1900-present
larger image

Although some areas of the country were dry this month, other areas were wet. Integrated across the nation, March 2003 precipitation averaged slightly below normal, ranking as the 51st driest March in the 1895-2003 record. But the near-record dry January pulls the January - March 2003 rank down to 26th driest. Fourteen of the last 43 months have averaged well below the normal, while only six averaged well above normal (see graph top right). National 2002-2003 precipitation ranks:

Precipitation Ranks for the
Contiguous U.S., 2002-2003
Period Rank
Mar 51st driest
Feb-Mar 28th wettest
( 81st driest)
Jan-Mar 26th driest
Dec-Mar 54th driest
Nov-Mar 43rd driest
Oct-Mar 38th wettest
( 71st driest)
Sep-Mar 32nd wettest
( 77th driest)
Aug-Mar 37th wettest
( 71st driest)
Jul-Mar 43rd wettest
( 66th driest)
Jun-Mar 54th wettest
( 55th driest)
May-Mar 51st driest
Apr-Mar 46th driest
Click here for graphic showing U.S. Precipitation Departure and Normals, January 1998-present
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Click here for graphic showing U.S. Precipitation, January-February, 1895-2003
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Click here to go to Top of Page For all climate questions other than questions concerning this report, please contact the National Climatic Data Center's Climate Services Division:

Climate Services Division
NOAA/National Climatic Data Center
151 Patton Avenue
Asheville, NC 28801-5001
fax: 828-271-4876
phone: 828-271-4800
email: ncdc.info@noaa.gov
For further information on the historical climate perspective presented in this report, contact:

Richard Heim
NOAA/National Climatic Data Center
151 Patton Avenue
Asheville, NC 28801-5001
fax: 828-271-4328
email: Richard.Heim@noaa.gov

-or-

Jay Lawrimore
NOAA/National Climatic Data Center
151 Patton Avenue
Asheville, NC 28801-5001
fax: 828-271-4328
email: Jay.Lawrimore@noaa.gov
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