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Paleoclimatic Perspective
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While June 2004 was the fifth wettest June on record for Georgia, the preceding three months were very dry, ranking as the second driest March-May in the 110-year record. Even with June included, the last four months ranked as the 21st driest March-June.
Paleoclimatic data, such as tree-rings, can be used to extend the climate record back several centuries beyond the 110-year instrumental record. Bald cypress tree-ring chronologies were used to reconstruct statewide spring (March-June) precipitation for Georgia (Stahle and Cleaveland, 1992). The tree-ring reconstruction explains 68% of the variance of Georgian precipitation. Reconstructed precipitation extends back to AD 933 and ends in 1985. Smoothed (10-year moving average) reconstructions show a range of variability in both drought intensity and duration over the past millennium. The 20th century part of the reconstruction is characterized by a high degree of variability and less severe droughts of shorter duration than the rest of the record. Two of the most persistent periods of droughts occurred around 1800 and in first half of the 12th century. The drought centered in the 1750s was also severe. |
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In the graph to the left, the blue lines are the statewide precipitation for Georgia based on instrumental observations for 1895-2004. The red lines are the reconstructed precipitation based on tree-ring data for the period 933-1985. Both sets of data have been standardized using the mean and standard deviation for the period of record common to both (i.e., 1895-1985) in order to facillitate direct comparison of the different types of data. Negative values are drier than the mean, while positive values are wetter than the mean. The darker thick curves are 10-year moving averages, while the lighter thin lines are the annual values. |
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Reference: More information on the Georgia and South Carolina tree-ring chronologies can be found in this publication:
Additional Resources: These reconstructions are available from the NOAA Paleoclimatology Program web site: |
NCDC /
Clim. Monitoring /
Climate-2004 /
Jun /
U.S. Regional Drought /
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